Pay Off The House Or Invest?
I was just looking through some old comments on the site and found one in response to my post on UFirst Financial. Instead of replying to her there, I got to thinking that this was entire post worthy:
I was paying off my mortgage early by the time-honored method of applying excess money to the principal back in the dot-com days, when everyone else thought I was nuts. I paid off a 15-year mortgage in 8 years. Just about the time the bust came around, Hub and I owned our house free and clear; our friends were all still paying on their mortgages and their brokerage accounts were to weep over. They’re still paying on their mortgages. Our brokerage accounts aren’t great, but we’ve spread money around and so are still seeing modest overall positive returns. AND we own our home and our vehicles. Being nuts is sometimes very productive.
A trait shared by the really big personal finance gurus is what seems to me to be rather inflexible “always” and “never” statements. Always buy mutual funds, never buy variable annuities, always pay down your debt, never use a credit card … ridiculous generalizations that are unhelpful at best and can be serious financial mistakes at worst. Because I don’t know your personal financial situation, I won’t be making a declaration about the best course of action for you but I will try to provide some thinking points.
One refrain you hear from personal finance people fairly often is that it’s better to not pay down your mortgage with extra money and instead invest it for (assumed) higher returns. The rationale is that the stock market has historically outperformed other investment vehicles (such as treasuries and corporate bonds), which is true, but the leap from that to “so you’ll come out ahead because you’ll earn a higher return than you’ll be paying for your mortgage” isn’t a sure thing at all. Quite a bit depends on when you begin and end your investment period - ask anyone you know about the late 60’s through the early 80’s about that - and what you invest in. And although there is not anything wrong with someone making a living, keep in mind that the person telling you to invest instead of pay down your debt might be hoping for a commission.
Another common talking point you’ll hear is that since the mortgage interest is deductible, you’re really not paying the interest rate stated on your note and so the return you need to earn on money invested elsewhere is an easier target to hit. This is true, but the benefit is variable depending on where you fall in the tax tables and the bottom line is that you’re still paying interest to a bank, which means you’re investing your money in someone else instead of yourself.
Of course, the key to using an “invest instead of pay down debt” strategy is that you actually have to do it. Over the last several years (but not recently!) I’ve heard many pitches from mortgage brokers suggesting that people get interest only or adjustable rate mortgages with low teaser rates - and sometimes both - specifically so that there would be more cash left over to invest. It sounds good, it sounds logical, but it presupposes that people will actually figure out how much they’d be paying monthly on a regular rate and term loan and send the difference every month to an investment account. I remember thinking at the time that an excellent relationship building move for a mortgage broker who gave such advice would be to provide clients with a breakdown of how much that difference would be and the name of an investment rep at a discount brokerage firm at closing to set up such an arrangement immediately, but oddly enough, I never heard tell of such a thing.
Another potential downside to investing instead of paying off your home with extra funds can be the uncertainty factor. Unless you have a cash or cash equivalent reserve set up for emergencies, which is a good idea anyway, a sudden change in circumstances could force you to sell off investments so you can continue to pay your bills. Depending on what you’ve chosen to invest in and the market conditions at the time, you may find that you are selling at a loss or are forced to pay early withdrawal or surrender fees.
With all of that said, putting all of your money towards your mortgage debt instead of investing probably isn’t the best course of action either. Although you may enter retirement without any debt, you may find rather quickly that you’re going to have to use that equity as collateral on a new loan in order to pay your bills, and there’s really no telling what interest rates will be like when and if that happens. Furthermore, if you work for a company that provides matching in your 401k and you decide to forego that in favor of paying down your debt, you’re giving up free money.
Ultimately, you have to make the decision that allows you to sleep at night. Most likely, it will be a combination of gradually paying down your mortgage while setting aside money for investments. The proportions to each may vary at times, depending on market conditions, other debt you may be carrying, and cash flow, and that’s OK. What really matters is that you’re doing one or the other, because that means that you are living within your means and have the ability to set aside money regularly to improve your financial future.
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